Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism

Body mass index (BMI) alone may underestimate clinically relevant obesity because it does not capture central fat distribution. We compared obesity prevalence in Mexico using BMI-only criteria, adiposity-confirmed criteria, and the clinical obesity definition proposed by the Lancet Diabetes and Endocrinology Commission. We conducted a population-based, cross-sectional study of 13,160 adults aged 18 years or older who participated in the 2018-2019 Mexican National Health and Nutrition Survey (ENSANUT). Obesity prevalence was estimated through survey-weighted analyses that accounted for the complex sampling design. The weighted prevalence of obesity based on BMI was 34.5% (95% CI, 33.1-35.9), while 30.9% (95% CI, 29.6-32.2) met criteria for clinical obesity. One quarter of individuals with clinical obesity had a BMI under 30 kg/m2, a phenotype more common among older adults. Half of adults with a BMI under 30 kg/m2 showed elevated central adiposity. BMI alone underestimates clinically relevant obesity in Mexican adults. Adding waist-based measurements could improve the identification of individuals with excess fat and metabolic risk, both in clinical settings and population monitoring.

Purpose: To evaluate whether initiation of GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) is associated with anti-VEGF treatment burden in type 2 diabetes patients with diabetic macular edema (DME) in the IRIS(R) Registry (Intelligent Research in Sight). Methods: Incident GLP-1RA initiators were matched 1:1 with controls via Mahalanobis distance matching (9,896 pairs; N=19,792) on sociodemographics, DME risk factors, and factors influencing GLP-1RA prescription including hypertension, obesity, chronic kidney disease. A longitudinal mixed-effects event-study model evaluated monthly anti-VEGF injection frequency over a 36-month window (12 months before through 24 months after initiation), adjusting for DME duration. Visual acuity (VA) and central subfield thickness (CST) were secondary outcomes. Results: Following GLP-1RA initiation, anti-VEGF injection trajectories did not significantly differ between the matched GLP-1RA and control cohorts (interaction coefficients -0.18 to 1.59, P>0.05). Likewise, no differences in VA were observed between cohorts (-0.05 to 0.04 logMAR, P>0.05) or CST (-14.12 to 33.58 {micro}m, P>0.05). Conclusion: In these matched cohorts, GLP-1RA initiation was not associated with the trajectory of anti-VEGF use or changes in VA or CST. Precis We used the American Academy of Ophthalmology IRIS(R) Registry (Intelligent Research in Sight) to identify patients with DME. In 19,792 matched patients, there was no significant reduction in injection frequency post GLP1-RA initiation and no significant change in VA or CST.

Objective: To determine whether continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) identifies clinically relevant glycemic heterogeneity and subclinical end-organ alterations in adults without diabetes. Research Design and Methods: We analyzed 1,017 AI-READI Year 3 participants without diabetes (558 with normoglycemia and 459 with prediabetes by A1C). Fifty-two metrics from 10-day blinded CGM were reduced to nonredundant glycemic axes. Partial Spearman correlations between representative CGM metrics and clinical measures across 13 domains were adjusted for age, sex, and BMI and controlled for false discovery rate. CGM-derived subphenotypes were identified using unsupervised UMAP-HDBSCAN-based clustering. Results: Among 462 glycemic-clinical associations tested, 99 (21.4%) remained significant after false discovery rate correction. Hyperglycemia-related metrics, including mean glucose, time above range, and time in tight range, showed more associations than variability metrics. The strongest signals involved cardiometabolic, cardiovascular, and cognitive measures. Greater hyperglycemia and glucose excursions were associated with lower language performance, slower processing speed, and lower cognitive efficiency ({rho} {approx} -0.10 to -0.14; all P < 0.01). Clustering identified four reproducible glycemic subphenotypes: Healthy, Mild Hyperglycemia, High Variability, and Hyperglycemia. CGM phenotypes reclassified A1C-defined groups: 58.1% of participants with normoglycemia fell into dysglycemic phenotypes, whereas 18.8% of participants with prediabetes fell into more favorable phenotypes. The Hyperglycemia phenotype had the most adverse cardiometabolic profile and lower cognitive performance. Conclusions: In adults without diabetes, CGM revealed glycemic patterns associated with distinct subclinical alterations. CGM-based phenotyping may complement A1C for characterizing early dysglycemia and selecting individuals for longitudinal risk-stratification studies.

Background Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) are widely prescribed for type 2 diabetes and obesity, yet their neuropsychiatric safety profile remains incompletely characterized. We aimed to systematically evaluate neuro-adverse event (AE) signals for six GLP-1RAs and to validate key findings using population-based data. Methods We conducted disproportionality analysis of FAERS data for semaglutide, liraglutide, dulaglutide, tirzepatide, exenatide, and lixisenatide. RORs were calculated for 93 predefined neuro-AE MedDRA PTs across 11 neurological categories. External validation used NHANES 2013-2018 (n=17,057; 70 GLP-1RA users) with survey-weighted regression. Results We identified 41 significant neuro-AE signals. Semaglutide showed the strongest neuromuscular signal, muscle atrophy (ROR 3.94; 95%CI 3.42-4.54), corroborated by tirzepatide (ROR 2.35; 95%CI 2.04-2.71). Exenatide generated the highest psychiatric signal: nervousness (ROR 4.03; 95%CI 3.70-4.40). NHANES confirmed higher depression odds (OR 2.05; 95%CI 1.32-3.19; P=0.001) and reduced sleep hours (beta -0.35; P=0.033). Conclusions GLP-1RAs carry multiple neuropsychiatric safety signals, including muscle atrophy as a potential class effect and depression risk corroborated by population-level data. These findings support heightened clinical monitoring.

Background Glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors are increasingly used for type 2 diabetes. Despite established metabolic, cardiovascular, and renal benefits, it remains uncertain whether GLP-1 receptor agonists are associated with longer clinically recorded Alzheimer's disease (AD)-type dementia-free survival than sulfonylureas (SU) or SGLT2 inhibitors. Methods Using All of Us electronic health records, we emulated target trials among adults aged 55 years or older with type 2 diabetes, a 12-month washout, and no prior dementia. We compared GLP-1 receptor agonists with SU and SGLT2 inhibitors. Propensity score weighting and doubly robust estimation addressed confounding. Causal survival forests estimated individualized treatment effects on 48-month RMST free from clinically recorded AD-type dementia. Findings In the GLP-1 receptor agonist versus SU comparison (6,328 individuals; 48-month NNT approximately 202), initiation was associated with a small but statistically significant increase in AD-type dementia-free survival (ATE 0.21 months; 95% CI: 0.07-0.35). The highest-benefit stratum gained 0.45 months (95% CI: 0.28-0.62). In the SGLT2 inhibitor comparison (3,070 individuals; 48-month NNT approximately 245), the average effect was not statistically significant (ATE 0.06 months; 95% CI: -0.18 to 0.31), but treatment effects were heterogeneous. The highest-benefit stratum gained 0.83 months (95% CI: 0.49-1.17). Predicted benefit was associated with older age, insulin use, lower HbA1c, and lower BMI. Interpretation GLP-1 receptor agonists may delay clinically recorded AD-type dementia compared with SU. Comparative effectiveness versus SGLT2 inhibitors may vary, supporting further study. Given the hypothesis-generating nature of these findings, diabetes treatment selection should remain guided by glycemic, cardiovascular, renal, and patient-centered considerations. Funding German Federal Ministry of Research, Technology and Space (03LWH0181B)

Introduction: Ethnic minority populations are disproportionately affected by type 2 diabetes (T2D). We investigated ethnic differences in the risks of diabetes-related complications and mortality in the Netherlands, and identified clinical, sociodemographic and environmental determinants associated with these differences. Methods: We included 175,112 adults with T2D from the dynamic prospective primary care cohort DIAMANT. DIAMANT data were linked to national registries from Statistics Netherlands and GECCO, a database integrating geographic, environmental and contextual exposures. Ethnic differences in complications risks were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. Potential mediating factors were explored using machine-learning-based variable selection and association decomposition approaches. Results: At baseline, mean age was 65.4 (SD 12.3) years, 46.6% were women and median T2D duration was 11.3 [IQR 7.2; 15.8] years. Substantial heterogeneity in complication risk was observed across ethnic groups compared with Dutch-origin individuals. Retinopathy risk was consistently higher across nearly all non-Dutch groups (HRs 1.37-2.37). For macrovascular complications, elevated risks were mainly observed among Surinamese and Turkish individuals, including heart failure (HR 1.30 and 1.46, respectively). In contrast, individuals of Indonesian and Moroccan origin showed similar or lower risk for most complications. Environmental exposures (e.g. air pollution, temperature) and sociodemographic factors (e.g. main benefit, household composition) accounted for a substantial attenuation of several observed associations. Discussion: Substantial ethnic differences exist in risks of T2D complications and mortality, which showed to be heterogeneous across outcomes and populations. Our findings suggest that a considerable proportion of these disparities is attributable to differences in environmental and sociodemographic context, highlighting the importance of interventions that take into account differences in environmental and socio-demographic context.

Importance: Evidence on GLP-1/GIP therapies is largely derived from trials enrolling selected populations or medical records that miss utilization outside healthcare channels. No nationally representative cohort has characterized real-world uptake, indications, and access. Objective: To characterize GLP-1/GIP prevalence, indication, clinical profile, and access. Design: Prospective cohort study with three GLP-1/GIP surveillance waves (March 2024, December 2024, October 2025). Setting: The Understanding America Study, an address-based, nationally representative panel of approximately 15,000 US adults aged 18+ years initiated in 2014. Participants: UAS participants responding to at least one surveillance wave (n=9150). Exposures: GLP-1/GIP use status (never vs any use, comprising current and former use), self-reported primary indication (diabetes, weight loss, or other), and access pathway (traditional vs non-traditional). Main Outcomes and Measures: Survey-weighted prevalence of GLP-1/GIP use, overall and by indication and access pathway; sociodemographic, cardiometabolic, treatment, and access characteristics; and smartwatch-derived resting heart rate, heart rate variability, maximum activity heart rate, step count, and sleep duration and variability. Results: Among n=9150 adults (1274 with any use; 60.9% female; median age 53 years), weighted prevalence increased 46%, from 8.2% (March 2024) to 12.0% (October 2025) representing 32 million. Weight-loss indications grew, reaching nearly half of use (4.1% to 5.6%); diabetes-indicated use was stable (5.3% to 5.4%). Users carried high cardiometabolic burden (obesity, 68.2%; diabetes, 53.6%) but diverged by indication: diabetes-indicated users were older (median, 59 vs 49 years), whereas weight-loss-indicated users were more often female (69.9% vs 51.3%) and healthier. One in three users (~9 million) had non-traditional access, especially in weight-loss-indicated users, of whom 33% had no conventional prescription; 41% used compounding, online, or foreign pharmacies; and, 43% lacked coverage. Non-traditional users were five times as likely to report an unlisted, likely compounded formulation (19.8% vs 4.1%). All p<0.05. Conclusions and Relevance: Real-world GLP-1/GIP use has grown rapidly and diversified substantially in indication, access, and population profile. One in 3 users obtained treatment through nontraditional channels largely invisible to claims data, raising long-term safety, efficacy, and coverage questions. GLIMMER provides a public, nationally representative longitudinal evidence base for future payer and provider decisions.

BACKGROUND People with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are at higher risk of cerebral small vessel disease and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), potentially contributing to cognitive decline and dementia. We aimed to describe brain volume and cognitive trajectories over 2 years in a cohort of people with T2DM and to determine whether LVH causes increased brain atrophy and cognitive decline. METHODS Diabetes and Dementia (D2) study is a multicentre observational cohort study in Melbourne, Australia. Participants aged >50 years were recruited via 2 hospital outpatient clinics, 3 private clinics, and study advertisements. Participants with pre-existing cognitive impairment, life-limiting medical illness, and severe chronic renal impairment were excluded. Participants attended study visits for brain MRI, transthoracic echocardiography (TTE), and cognitive testing at baseline and 2 years. The exposure was LVH determined on baseline TTE. Pre-specified outcomes were total brain volume (TBV) change and cognitive decline (z-score change?-1 in any cognitive domain) over 2 years. Regression analyses examined associations between baseline variables and outcomes. A causal inference approach was utilized using inverse probability of treatment weighting to standardize for confounding covariates, excluding participants for non-positivity on age and baseline TBV. RESULTS Participants were recruited 20May2016 to 20March2020: 2378 screened, 702 eligible, 196 consented, 150 baseline and 123 2-year assessments with complete MRI, TTE, and cognitive data (17.4% attrition). At baseline, LVH was associated with female sex, older age, lower educational attainment, lower mood, hypertension, obesity, beta-blocker use, and smaller TBV. Participants with baseline cognitive impairment exhibited greater brain atrophy. Lower educational attainment, hypertension, and lower baseline cognitive scores were associated with cognitive decline. Causal inference analysis included 62 participants with no LVH (20(32%) women; mean [SD]=66.9[5.9] years), and 31 with LVH (17(55%) women, 67.4[5.4] years). LVH caused lower TBV change: standardized mean difference (95% CI) 6.3 (0.1, 12.5) cm3, P=.048. LVH had no effect on cognitive decline. CONCLUSIONS Brain atrophy and cognitive decline were associated with baseline cognitive impairment. LVH caused less brain atrophy and cognitive decline in people with T2DM. We conclude that guideline-directed LVH therapies such as beta-blockers have both cardioprotective (remodelling) and neuroprotective effects. TRIAL REGISTRATION ACTRN12616000546459 UTN: U1111-1181-6659

Background: Diabetes mellitus and hypertension are increasingly prevalent non-communicable diseases that often coexist due to their interrelated pathophysiology and commonalities of risk factors. Effective management of these two comorbid conditions often involves polypharmacy, defined as the concurrent use of five or more medications, which for therapeutically relevant outcomes requires a high-medication adherence. Limited data exist on the extent of polypharmacy and its impact on adherence among Tanzanian patients with these comorbidities. This study therefore aimed at evaluating the prevalence of polypharmacy and its impact on medication adherence levels among this population. Methodology: A cross-sectional study involving 396 outpatients was conducted at Muhimbili National Hospital. Consecutive sampling was used to recruit eligible participants. Data was collected using structured-questionnaire which captured information on socio-demographics, clinical characteristics and adherence behaviors. Polypharmacy was defined as using five or more medications. Medication adherence was assessed using the Medication Adherence Report Scale (MARS-5). Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify factors associated with adherence. Results: 71% of the study participants were on five or more medications, indicating high polypharmacy prevalence, with a median of six medications. Medication adherence was reported at 55.1%. Factors associated with lower adherence included moderate (APR: 0.83, P = 0.001) and high fasting glucose (APR: 0.66, P < 0.001), herbal medicine use (APR: 0.72, P < 0.001), and uncontrolled blood pressure. Conclusion: This study reveals a high prevalence of polypharmacy with moderate medication adherence among patients with comorbid T2DM and hypertension. These findings suggest a targeted intervention utilizing such as patient education and medication reviews are essential to improve adherence and management in Tanzania.

Background: Cardiometabolic health typically declines with age and is worse among individuals living with obesity. Weight loss medications have modified the potential for weight loss across the life course, but it remains unclear whether weight reduction in later midlife contributes to improved cardiometabolic health, or if continuing to gain weight may continue to worsen cardiometabolic health. Methods: Using the nationally representative 1958 National Child Development Study (NCDS), a British birth cohort, associations were examined using lagged linear regression between weight change between ages 50-55 and health outcomes at age 62 (n=6,309 high-density lipoprotein (HDLc) and low-density lipoprotein (LDLc) cholesterol, systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP and DBP), heart rate, triglycerides, C-reactive protein (CRP), and glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c). Models accounted for prior biomarker levels at age 44. We also explored impacts of weight change on subsequent body composition. Results: Those who gained weight into or within obesity had less favourable cardiometabolic profiles and experienced faster deterioration of cardiometabolic markers between the ages of 44 and 62 than those remaining in healthy weight (e.g. SBP: 5.726, 95% CI: 2.660 to 8.793, p < 0.001; CRP: 0.802, 95% CI: 0.409 to 1.196, p < 0.001). Those who lost weight from obesity had similar rates of cardiometabolic biomarker deterioration to the healthy weight group (SBP: 0.947, 95%CI: -6.605 to 8.499, p=0.806; CRP: 0.140, 95% CI: -0.774 to 1.055, p= 0.764). Conclusion: Weight change in midlife tends towards increasing obesity and associated adverse cardiometabolic risk. Those who lose weight experienced improved cardiometabolic profiles. By viewing midlife as a modifiable stage of the life course, this study highlights opportunities to promote cardiometabolic health, and limit the speed of health decline.

Importance. Metformin may influence risk of dementia, with prior conflicting observations of protection or harm. Objective. To determine the association of randomization to metformin vs. placebo or intensive lifestyle intervention (ILS) in the Diabetes Prevention Program (DPP) with cognitive outcomes (cognitive impairment syndromes and trajectories of cognitive test performance) during the DPP Outcomes Study (DPPOS). Design, Setting & Participants. Prospective long-term follow-up of DPP/DPPOS participants at 27 U.S. centers among adults who were at high risk for type 2 diabetes (T2D) at baseline. Exposures. Randomization to metformin, placebo, or ILS (1996-1999) for 3.2 years followed by open-label metformin in the original randomized metformin group until 2021. Main Outcomes & Measures. Cognitive impairment syndromes were adjudicated in 2022-2024 in 1,483 participants (median age 74 [IQR 68, 80]) using the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center Uniform Dataset version 3. Cognitive performance in executive and memory domains was ascertained with repeated cognitive tests between 2009 and 2024. Multinomial logistic regression and mixed-effects models were fit to examine associations of randomization to metformin with cognitive outcomes. Results. Total metformin exposure (mean {+/-} SD) was 15.5 {+/-}7.7 years/person in the metformin group. Persons in the placebo and ILS groups received out-of-study metformin usually after developing diabetes with mean metformin total exposure of 4.5 {+/-}5.1 and 3.8 {+/-}4.8 years/person in the placebo and ILS groups, respectively. Overall, the frequency distributions of the cognitive syndromes did not differ significantly by treatment group; however, randomization to metformin was associated with a 60% (OR 0.40 [95%CI 0.17, 0.97]) and 62% (OR 0.38 [95%CI 0.16, 0.89]) lower odds of dementia compared with placebo and ILS, respectively, after adjustment for demographics, education, income, and APOE-{varepsilon}4 genotype. Randomization to metformin was also associated with significantly better memory performance over time ( {beta} =0.58; 95%CI: 0.09, 1.1; p=0.02; Cohen's d=0.1). Conclusions and Relevance. Long-term metformin treatment is associated with a reduced risk of dementia and better memory performance among persons with pre-diabetes or T2D. Estimates were imprecise due to a limited number of dementia cases. Longer follow-up with more dementia cases is needed to confirm our findings.

Background: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is associated with elevated rates of several cancers and is increasingly recognized as a heterogeneous disease, but whether its clinically distinct subtypes carry different cancer risks is unknown. Methods: In this matched retrospective cohort study using electronic health record data from the Epic Cosmos Research Platform (2012-2025), adults with newly diagnosed T2D were classified into severe insulin-deficient (SIDD, 21.6%), mild obesity-related (MOD, 23.5%), mild age-related (MARD, 40.7%), or mixed (14.1%) subtypes using validated algorithms and matched to adults without diabetes on age, sex, and body mass index. Cause-specific Cox models estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for seven site-specific cancers, accounting for competing risks. Cancer screening uptake was assessed as a secondary outcome. Results: Among 575,139 adults with T2D and 689,719 without diabetes (median follow-up, 3.8 years), MARD had the highest cancer incidence (17.3 per 1,000 person-years). Relative to adults without diabetes, rates of colorectal, pancreatic, liver, endometrial, and ovarian cancer were elevated across subtypes, with the highest hazards in SIDD (HR=3.87, 95% CI=3.51 to 4.27) and mixed phenotypes. Prostate cancer rates were lower in all subtypes, most markedly in MOD (HR=0.60, 95% CI=0.55 to 0.64). Rates of breast cancer were higher among mixed (HR=1.12, 95% CI=1.05 to 1.19) and lower among MOD (HR=0.85, 95% CI=0.80 to 0.90). Mammography and prostate-specific antigen screening were lower across subtypes. Conclusions: Site-specific cancer incidence and screening uptake differed across clinically defined subtypes of T2D. Subtype classification from routine clinical data may inform targeted cancer surveillance, though further study is needed before clinical use.

Background Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP1 RAs) are first-line pharmacotherapy for obesity and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD); however, 20% to 35% of patients fail to achieve clinically meaningful weight loss despite guideline-directed therapy. Whether this GLP1 refractory obesity (GRO) phenotype is associated with distinct hepatic molecular abnormalities or influences bariatric surgical outcomes remains unknown. Objectives To characterize the hepatic histological, ultrastructural, and molecular phenotype of GRO at bariatric surgery, determine its recovery following surgery, and identify preoperative hepatic biomarkers associated with postoperative weight loss. Setting Academic tertiary referral bariatric surgery center. Methods Intraoperative liver biopsies were obtained from lean controls (n=3), GLP1 naive obese patients (GNO; n=10), and GLP1-refractory obese patients (GRO; n=10) undergoing Roux-en-Y gastric bypass. GRO was defined as <5% total weight loss after 12 months of guideline-directed GLP1 RA therapy. Paired liver biopsies were obtained six months postoperatively from subsets of GNO (n=5) and GRO (n=5). Histological, ultrastructural, and molecular analyses were performed, and preoperative hepatic protein expression was correlated with postoperative total weight loss. Results Compared with GNO, GRO patients exhibited more advanced hepatic steatosis, fibrosis, lipid accumulation, and mitochondrial ultrastructural disruption at surgery (all P<0.05). Despite equivalent Body mass index, GNO patients maintained lean-equivalent hepatic pCREB, pAMPK, pACC, and oxidative phosphorylation (OXPHOS) protein expression, whereas GRO patients demonstrated marked suppression of GLP1R downstream signaling (75 to 85%) and OXPHOS complex subunits (38 to 55%; all P<0.001). Six months after surgery, histological and molecular recovery remained significantly attenuated in GRO. GRO patients achieved less postoperative weight loss than GNO patients (25.2% vs. 29.51% total weight loss; P<0.001). Across the pooled cohort, several hepatic molecular markers correlated with postoperative weight loss; however, no individual biomarker independently predicted postoperative weight loss within the GRO subgroup. Conclusions GLP1 refractory obesity is associated with a distinct hepatic phenotype characterized by impaired GLP1R signaling, mitochondrial dysfunction, and attenuated hepatic recovery following bariatric surgery. The coordinated suppression of hepatic energy-sensing, mitochondrial biogenesis, and oxidative phosphorylation pathways supports the concept that GLP1 refractory obesity represents a biologically distinct metabolic phenotype. Larger prospective studies are required to determine the prognostic utility of hepatic molecular profiling for postoperative outcomes. Keywords: GLP1 receptor agonist refractoriness; bariatric surgery; hepatic steatosis; MASLD; AMPK; pCREB; mitochondrial dysfunction; OXPHOS; weight loss outcomes; biomarker

Background Data-driven type 2 diabetes (T2D) subtypes differ in their risks of dementia and stroke. We examined whether their metabolomic profiles also differed and whether subtype-related metabolic patterns were associated with dementia, stroke, and all-cause mortality. Methods We analyzed NMR-based metabolomic profiles across previously defined T2D subtypes in the UK Biobank. Subtype-related metabolites were summarized using principal component analysis (PCA), and their associations with incident dementia, stroke, and all-cause mortality were examined using Cox models. Attenuation analyses and two-sample Mendelian randomization further assessed subtype-outcome relationships and the potential causal relevance of outcome-associated metabolites. Results Among 7,671 individuals (mean age 59.85 years; 37% female), the first five PCs explained 76.7% of variance in subtype-related metabolites and mainly reflected lipid and lipoprotein signatures. After adjustment for T2D subtype and confounders, the HDL-remodeling PC increased risks of all-cause dementia (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.08-1.27), VaD (HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.05-1.32), and all-cause mortality (HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.13-1.19). Lower scores on the LDL cholesterol-enriched axis increase risks of all-cause dementia (HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.62-0.91) and mortality (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.69-0.83). The VLDL/LDL-enriched PC was inversely associated with mortality (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.88-0.98). No significant stroke results were observed. Adjustment for the PCA-derived metabolomic patterns generally attenuated subtype-outcome associations, MR analyses identified 197 metabolite-outcome associations that remained significant after FDR correction. Conclusions Metabolomic profiling showed that the metabolic signatures differed across data-driven T2D subtypes and highlighted lipid and lipoprotein remodeling as a major metabolic feature associated with dementia, stroke, and all-cause mortality.

Background Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic (CKM) syndrome encompasses interconnected conditions such as type 2 diabetes (T2D), hypertension, hypertriglyceridemia, metabolic syndrome (MetS), and chronic kidney disease (CKD). As CKM progresses, cardiorenal risks increase. Although Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RA) have demonstrated cardiorenal and cardiometabolic benefits, offering an opportunity to slow CKM progression, their use may vary across social determinants of health (SDoH) and stage 2 CKM subgroups. Objective To evaluate the influence of SDoH on access to GLP-1 RA among patients with T2D and other stage 2 CKM conditions. Methods This cross-sectional study used data from the U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), 2005?2020. Adults aged [&ge;]30 years with T2D and/or other stage 2 CKM conditions were included. Weighted descriptive analysis, multivariable logistic regression and LASSO were applied to assess associations between SDoH and GLP-1 RA use. Results Among 4,520 participants (representing approximately 84.0 million U.S. adults), weighted mean age was 61.4 years, 48.9% were female, and 61.5% were non-Hispanic White. Among participants with T2D, GLP-1 RA use was higher among individuals with higher education (3.39% vs 1.43%), private insurance (3.00% vs 0.58%), and higher income (4.70% vs 1.87%), while no use was observed among those without routine places for care. In adjusted analyses, individuals with lower income, less than high school education, lack of insurance, and being unmarried had 64%, 51%, 81%, and 40% lower likelihood of GLP-1 RA use, respectively. LASSO identified income, education, insurance, and access to care as predictors. Lower income, lower educational attainment, and lack of insurance were associated with 48%, 34%, and 79% lower likelihood of GLP-1 RA use, respectively, adjusting for age, sex, and race/ethnicity. Conclusion SDoH-driven disparities limit GLP-1 RA access. Expanding GLP-1 RA access by addressing socioeconomic barriers is critical to slowing CKM progression, reducing cardiovascular risk, and mitigating health disparities.

Background Treatment of Raynaud phenomenon(RP) with oral vasodilators(calcium channel block-ers and phosphodiesterase type 5 inhibitors) has shown moderate efficacy, may not benefit to all patients, and adverse effects often compromise long-term treatment. In addition, a large placebo effect may jeopardize the assessment of treatment benefits. Pharmaconutritional strategies aiming at increasing nitric oxide bioavailability (beet-root juice and L-citrulline) may be promising alternatives, and we further hypothesized that patient preference for a treatment could be a driver of the response. Methods This study consisted of a series of randomized, double-blind, N-of-1 trials conducted in outpa-tients with primary or secondary RP. Each patient underwent a multiple crossover design with repeated blocks of randomized treatments periods: 2 weeks of placebo, 2 weeks of active treat-ments, and 1 week of washout. Outcomes included the Raynaud Condition Score(RCS), fre-quency and daily duration of attacks. Each patient prespecified its preferred primary outcome, efficacy threshold and preferred treatment, which was used for stratified randomization. Gener-alized linear mixed-effects models were used to determine individual and aggregated efficacy. Results Twenty-one patients completed 2 to 8 treatment blocks. Seventeen patients tested L-citrulline, 17 beetroot juice and 13 both treatments. Ten patients selected RCS as a primary outcome, 6 patients the number of attacks and 5 the duration of attacks. Me-dian threshold for considering treatment efficacy chosen by patients was 50% (min-max 20% to 75%) reduction of symptoms. Using individual criteria to define efficacy neither L-citrulline nor beetroot juice showed significant efficacy compared to baseline. Based on the aggregated data, our results show no significant difference between L-citrulline and the L-citrulline-based placebo, nor between beetroot juice and nitrate-depleted beetroot juice, with the exception of the daily duration of RP attacks with beetroot juice (p=0.002). Finally, there was a marked placebo response, notably when patients received their preferred treatment. Conclusions: Our study did not show significant beetroot juice or L-citrulline efficacy in RP. However, we found that individual preference for one treatment over another maximizes responses to both placebo and active treatments, particularly with regard to the frequency and duration of RP attacks, thus suggesting that a real and modifiable placebo effect exists in RP.

Background Existing insulin resistance (IR) indices are predominantly developed in diabetic cohorts, limiting their generalizability. We developed a novel deep neural network-derived IR index (DNN-IR) using a Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) framework and evaluated its predictive performance for incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality in general populations. Methods We utilized data from three cohorts: the cross-sectional REACTION study (Fujian subcohort, 2011-2012) for DNN-IR derivation and internal validation; and two prospective cohorts, NHANES (1999-2018, linked to the National Death Index) and CHARLS (2011-2018), for external validation. The DNN-IR was developed using a deep learning model based on a Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architecture, trained on the REACTION dataset. We evaluated the DNN-IR's utility in predicting incident CVD, cardiovascular mortality, and non-cardiovascular mortality among 13,889 NHANES and 7,047 CHARLS participants. Predictive performance was assessed via the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Multivariable logistic regression, restricted cubic splines, and Kaplan-Meier analyses characterized the associations between DNN-IR and clinical outcomes. Results In the REACTION cohort, DNN-IR demonstrated superior predictive performance for atherosclerotic outcomes, achieving AUROCs of 0.89 (training) and 0.84 (internal validation). In the external CHARLS cohort (median follow-up: 7 years; 1,135 incident CVD cases [16.1%]), DNN-IR yielded AUROCs of 0.72 for incident CVD and 0.77 for all-cause mortality. Fully adjusted models showed that each 1-SD increment in DNN-IR was associated with a 23% higher CVD risk (OR=1.23, 95% CI: 1.14-1.32), exhibiting a predominantly linear dose-response relationship (P-nonlinearity=0.453). In NHANES, DNN-IR robustly predicted cardiovascular (AUROC=0.77) and all-cause mortality (AUROC=0.72), alongside specific mortalities like diabetes (0.91), Alzheimer's disease (0.88), and kidney disease (0.96). Higher DNN-IR levels correlated with stepwise increases in cumulative mortality (log-rank P<0.001). Conclusions The MoE-derived DNN-IR index demonstrated robust and stable performance in predicting atherosclerosis, incident CVD, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality in the general population. Further validation in larger, more diverse cohorts is warranted to support its broad clinical applicability.

Background: Large-scale biobanks have advanced genomic and epidemiologic research, but many rely on infrequent biological sampling and limited digital phenotyping. The Yamanashi Multi-omics Cohort (YMoC) was established to support longitudinal assessment of molecular, clinical, and behavioural changes in a screening-defined cohort of adults at elevated metabolic risk without diagnosed diabetes. Methods: YMoC is a longitudinal cohort of 215 adults aged 30-70 years in Yamanashi Prefecture, Japan, who met prespecified glycaemic eligibility criteria at health check-up, including fasting plasma glucose 100-125 mg/dL (5.6-6.9 mmol/L) and HbA1c <6.5%. Participants underwent three in-person visits over six months. Measurements include 75-g oral glucose tolerance testing with serial sampling, clinical biochemistry, anthropometry, liver elastography, and collection of blood, urine, stool, and saliva for multi-omics profiling. Between visits, participants wore a Fitbit Inspire 3 and completed daily app-based questionnaires using the Taohealth app. Current molecular data include genome-wide single nucleotide polymorphism array genotyping and longitudinal plasma proteomics in a subset. Conclusions: YMoC is designed to evaluate within-person molecular and phenotypic trajectories in a screening-defined metabolic-risk cohort. The cohort provides a dense longitudinal resource linking clinical assessments, biospecimens, omics assays, and digital phenotyping, including analyses of insulin-resistance-related markers such as homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR).

Background: Observational research reports positive associations between type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and obesity-related cancers (ORCs), but causality remains unclear due to confounding (namely the shared risk factor of obesity, commonly approximated as body mass index, BMI), immortal time bias, and detection-time bias. Here, we aimed to use causal inference methods to minimise the above problems and estimate causal associations between new-onset T2DM and incident cancer. Methods: We performed a cohort study within UK Biobank, comparing new-onset T2DM with unexposed individuals matched 1 to 3 on BMI, age, and sex using a sequential longitudinal approach. The primary outcomes were total incident cancer, divided into ORCs and non-obesity-related cancers (NORCs). The secondary outcomes were site-specific cancers. We developed Cox models to estimate time-split hazard ratios (tsHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) stratified by sex. Findings: 23,771 participants with new-onset T2DM were matched with 71,170 unexposed participants. During a median follow-up of 5 years, there were 7694 (T2DM: 2432; unexposed: 5262) incident cancers. In men, there was evidence for an effect of T2DM on obesity-related cancer (tsHR 1.39, 95% CI 1.21-1.59), particularly on hepatocellular carcinoma (tsHR 3.97, 95% CI 2.38-6.65), pancreatic (tsHR 1.77, 95% CI 1.15-2.72) and kidney (tsHR 1.62, 95% CI 1.13-2.32) cancers. In women, there was evidence for an effect on obesity-related cancers (tsHR 1.33, 95% CI 1.16-1.52). Importantly, there were no associations with post-menopausal breast and endometrial cancers, two cancer types consistently associated with elevated BMI. There was no effect of new-onset T2DM on incidence of NORCs. There was evidence of detection-time bias, particularly in men. Interpretation: This is the first large-scale study to demonstrate evidence of a BMI-independent associations between new-onset T2DM and incident cancer. In men, this was primarily driven by hepatocellular carcinoma, pancreatic cancer, and kidney cancer. In women, the underlying cancers driving this relationship were less clearly defined. Funding: This study was funded by Cancer Research UK and administered through the Manchester Cancer Research Centre MB-PhD scheme (SEBCATP-2023/100010).

Introduction: Cash transfer programs could reduce diabetes risk by decreasing chronic stress and increasing food security, physical activity, and preventive care, but there is an evidence gap on the relationship between cash transfer access and diabetes and prediabetes incidence. Methods: We used data from the Health and Ageing in Africa: Longitudinal Studies in South Africa (HAALSA) Indepth cohort of Black South Africans ages 40+ (N=5059). We fit log binomial models to estimate the relationship between household cash transfer eligibility (HCT) and cumulative incidence of diabetes and prediabetes between 2014/15 and 2021/22. We performed quantile regression to estimate change in continuous glucose values across the glucose distribution with additional HCT. Results: No association was observed between HCT and diabetes risk. Each additional unit of HCT was associated with reduced prediabetes risk [aCIR (95% CI): 0.94 (0.90, 0.98); p=0.007]. The largest reduction in glucose values associated with additional HCT was at the highest end of the glucose distribution. Discussion: Our observations suggest household cash transfer access reduces risk of prediabetes but not diabetes. However, household cash transfer access was associated with the largest decrease in glucose for the most severely glucose-impaired, implying the potential for HCT to reduce risk of hyperglycemic complications.